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Political Predictions
June 27th, 2007 at 02:05
Tomorrow (well, today at time of writing), I’m going down to London to watch politics in action. Katy and I are going to try and watch the changeover from a few hundred metres away in the flesh. And make stupid videos of me outside Parliament.
Keep an eye on the news tomorrow – look out for the twat in the background harassing politicians for photos and generally getting in the way. I’ll be the only person in Westminster who isn’t wearing a suit.
I can’t tell you how much I’m looking forward to it – I bloody love London, and politics and the news media are excellent too. If I walk around London on a normal day I suddenly become so enthusiastic, I wouldn’t look out of place on Children’s TV – tomorrow it’ll (hopefully) be littered with A-list political celebrities, so its going to be the best thing ever. Hopefully they’ll be a blog post tomorrow with photos of London being typically exciting.
As tomorrow is a big day politically, I’m going to metaphorically throw my proverbial hat in the proverbial ring and make some uninformed political predictions, as that seems like the appropriate thing to do. A bit like New Years resolutions, if they weren’t about self improvement and more about baseless speculation about Brown’s imminent Premiership:
1) How the EU constitution deal goes down will determine whether Brown calls a general election or not. If the opposition get a referendum on the constitution treaty, I reckon there won’t be a general election until the end of the cycle (2009ish), but if Brown refuses a referendum, his authority will be undermined further, and he’ll call a general election in order to establish himself legitimately – and the Tories will frame it as a referendum on Europe. And lose.
2) Milliband will get something decent to satisfy the Blairites (Home secretary? Something like that).
3) I’d like to speculate on how Brown can think Jack Straw for being his “campaign manager”, but that must have been the easiest job in history, given his opponents. I dare-say that I’d have been pretty good at that job too. Rather than “Gordon Brown for Britain” for the slogan, I’d have gone with “Gordon Brown!”, merely adding an exclamation mark. Maybe he could be Deputy PM? But that’s a rubbish job unless you’ve got a portfolio of stuff to do to go with it. Maybe he’ll be back as the Foreign secretary? Chancellor and DPM? Stranger things have happened (whale in the Thames, for instance).
4) John Cruddas will get into the cabinet, but as something rubbish and inoffensive.
5) Brown won’t join in with the cruise-missiling of Iran, but will publicly say that he strongly supports America.
What’s that? Nobody asked for my opinions? Well alright, but if any of them are correct, I’ll be sure to link back here and look a bit smug.
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